Historical Analysis

SJ
Sarah Johnson

📊 AI Pattern Recognition Engine

Data analyzed: 5 years Patterns identified: 87 Anomalies detected: 23
to

🧠 AI-Discovered Patterns & Insights

📈

Seasonal Surge Pattern

AI detected 42% demand increase every Q4 for Electronics category, starting 6 weeks before Black Friday.

Confidence: 96.8% Occurrences: 5/5 years
🔄

Weekly Cycle Detected

Machine learning identified Tuesday-Thursday peak demand pattern across 78% of SKUs in Health category.

Impact: +23% avg demand Reliability: 91.2%
⚠️

Supply Chain Correlation

Neural network found 85% correlation between port delays and stockouts 3-4 weeks later.

Lead time: 21 days Prediction accuracy: 89.5%
💡

Cross-Product Affinity

AI discovered hidden demand correlation between Smart Watches and Wireless Headphones (r=0.78).

Revenue impact: +$2.3M Bundle opportunity
Avg Forecast Accuracy
91.8%
+4.2% YoY improvement
Total Demand Variance
±12.3%
Decreasing volatility
Stockout Events
156
-32% vs last year
Service Level
94.7%
Above target

Demand Trend Analysis

Seasonality Index

🚨 Anomaly Detection & Events

2024-11-28

Black Friday Surge

Demand exceeded forecast by 156% for Electronics. AI model automatically adjusted future predictions.

Impact: +$4.2M revenue | Response time: 2 hours
2024-09-15

Supply Chain Disruption

Port strike caused 3-week delay. AI predicted impact and recommended 40% safety stock increase.

Stockouts prevented: 234 SKUs | Cost saved: $890K
2024-07-04

Unexpected Demand Drop

Holiday weekend showed 32% lower demand than historical average. Pattern now incorporated in model.

Model accuracy improved: +1.8% | Applied to 15 similar dates

Monthly Performance Summary

Month Total Demand Forecast Accuracy Service Level Stockouts Overstock AI Insights Trend
Dec 2024 485,230 units 95.8% 96.2% 12 $234K Holiday pattern detected ↗ +28%
Nov 2024 412,150 units 94.2% 95.8% 18 $189K Black Friday surge ↗ +35%
Oct 2024 328,940 units 89.5% 93.1% 25 $156K Pre-holiday buildup ↗ +12%
Sep 2024 295,870 units 92.7% 94.5% 22 $201K Supply disruption → +2%
Aug 2024 289,320 units 93.1% 95.2% 15 $178K Stable demand → -1%