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Market Conditions
Supply Chain Factors
Seasonal & Event Factors
🧠AI Scenario Insights
Critical Factor
Supply Chain Risk Alert
AI analysis shows 78% probability of supply disruption in Q2. Recommend increasing safety stock by 35% for critical SKUs.
Impact: $2.3M revenue risk
Mitigation cost: $450K
Opportunity
Market Expansion Window
Neural network predicts 85% success rate for Electronics category expansion under current scenario parameters.
Potential gain: +23% revenue
Investment needed: $1.2M
Risk Factor
Demand Volatility Increase
Machine learning models predict 40% increase in demand volatility. Recommend flexible production scheduling.
Confidence: 91.3%
Affected SKUs: 1,245
Scenario Comparison
Baseline Scenario
Current State
Total Revenue
$45.2M
Profit Margin
18.5%
Stock-out Risk
12%
Service Level
94.2%
Optimistic Scenario
Best Case
Total Revenue
$58.7M (+30%)
Profit Margin
22.3% (+3.8%)
Stock-out Risk
8% (-4%)
Service Level
97.8% (+3.6%)
Pessimistic Scenario
Worst Case
Total Revenue
$38.4M (-15%)
Profit Margin
14.2% (-4.3%)
Stock-out Risk
23% (+11%)
Service Level
87.5% (-6.7%)
AI Recommended
Optimal Balance
Total Revenue
$52.1M (+15%)
Profit Margin
20.8% (+2.3%)
Stock-out Risk
10% (-2%)
Service Level
96.5% (+2.3%)